286 passages, newest first · 5 ms
`0:00:00`
There are decades where nothing happens and weeks where decades happen. And we have seen decades of progress happen in the last nine months. If you're not recognizing the gravity of the moment, that's the delusion. That's the psychosis. Who would not get delirious if suddenly a genie pops out of the bottle and…
`0:03:31`
There is none of the existential threat. That doesn't exist for me as an emotional component. It is only there as an intellectual component, and the emotional component for me is 100% pure, unadulterated joy-... and optimism and amazement that we've made computers do this. And I find it so interesting that we talked just…
`0:05:54`
To me, that's why even when I look back upon our conversation a year ago, I don't actually have different opinions. I have the same opinions. A year ago, I did not like the mode of AI we were offered. It was the autocomplete mode, or it was the AI chatbot mode. Now, the chatbot…
I give it a couple of tasks, and I realize that the quality of the output is uncannily close to what I would've written. And I remember just leaning back and thinking, "What just happened?" "How did we go from this autocomplete mess that I was talking to you about in the summer to this just a few short…
And this is the magic of this progress, is you think you've reached something... I remember thinking at the moment, "If this is the last model we get, I'll be set. I'll be happy." I could live with Opus 4.5 for the next 20 years-... and you would hear no complaints from me because it was…
I had to tell it what I wanted, and I had to be the reviewer, the auditor of what was coming out. And then finally now, this summer, with Opus 5, Fable, and Sol, GPT Sol, and to a lesser extent, some of the open weight models, we've arrived at a new era where I'm not telling it…
`0:14:12`
Yes, but that said, AI is insanely capable at both finding-... and fixing security vulnerabilities. This was the whole blowup about Fable. This model was so capable of finding holes that a an attacker could exploit that it was simply not safe to release. So the irony here is that when you look at that field, it…
`0:15:43`
... any of the code that's shipped in Quatro by hand. I've reviewed the shape of all of it. I've reviewed the individual lines of anything that's critical in the model layer of the system, and I've not looked at a bunch of the UI code. I have not looked at a bunch…
`0:17:33`
To be able to vibe code on existing substantial
`0:17:38`
... code bases, even if they're crud, if you wanna retain the element of architecture that got that system to where it was. Now, that's also a point where I've stressed many times that when people accuse vibe coders of being slob generators…
`0:18:44`
Multiple reasons. I'll start with the first one that's the most critical. As soon as you're having human teams work together on something, the bottleneck is rarely implementation. It's human bandwidth and communication. When you have a product manager and a couple of designers and a VP above them and a CTO above…
So you can make a lot of shitty ideas come true, then what? Are you gonna ship that? That sounds like, I don't know, something coming out of Microsoft. That's not what we're trying to replicate here. That process is not actually... Because we already had this. If you step back for a moment and think of…
`0:23:33`
This is the classic innovator's dilemma. These companies have gotten so good, so established at the old way, and therefore their entire structure, management layers, processes are tuned for a time that no longer exists. But you can't pivot that. These are super tankers. It just doesn't happen. This is why we're finally…
If there's a piece of software you depended on that bound you to Windows, it is completely within reach for you personally to start rewriting it. And maybe you won't get to 100% coverage, but this is the old joke about Microsoft Office. "I only use 5%." Yeah, well, we all use a different 5%. Well, what if…
`0:26:33`
... which in itself is based on another app called iA Writer, which was my real love on the Mac-... for a clean, simple Markdown writing environment. That's where I write all my essays. And then I moved to Linux, and I couldn't get iA Writer, so I moved over to this other tool called Typora…
`0:27:42`
Correct with just one user in mind. And then there's a version of that that is- starts with one user in mind but expands to a larger audience. So I've actually written a large number of software just for me, and I find it easier to do and better to get my situation done. For…
`0:28:35`
Yes, but it is simpler than you think. By the time you're done building the tool for yourself, you simply tell your agent to put it on GitHub. You don't even have to do anything else. It will figure out how to put that repo on GitHub. It'll write a nice README. It'll start using GitHub…
There was only a small subset of people who contribute to open source, and that was the very highly skilled wizards. So this is a bit of a reformation moment. We had this disintermediation between us and the computer, and it was this class of clerics and priests called programmers, and suddenly they're being disintermediated here by was it…
100% you do, which is also something that's always been true about open source, which is the second argument that really grinds me. I've been running open source projects for 25 years. I have literally looked at the output of thousands, if not tens of thousands of programmers. I feel like I have the statistical basis to assert…
You didn't even write it, so I can simply look at what your agent wrote on your behalf and go, "Eh, don't want it." That's always been true in open source, and in fact, I think this is one of the problems with open source maintainers. They have way too much ball of neuroticism and anxiety that…