Superintelligence CouncilСовет гения · sim.im

Gary Halbert · whole document (80)

zflk blitzkrieg paradigm

Actually, it was a piece of cake.

Here's a true story which'll help you
understand the first part of it: My second wife Nancy and I
once spent weeks analyzing all the data for five years' worth
of races at the Ascot Racetrack in Northeastern Ohio. (I think
it's gone now.) We did a "mathematical regression
analysis." In other words, we worked backwards
to find out what factors were most influential in determining
whether a horse was likely to be a winner in any particular
race. Then, we had to determine which factors indicated
whether we should or should not place a bet on any certain
horse.

The results were surprising. You know what the
first thing you should handicap is, if you want to make a
living betting on horse races? Aw, you'd never
figure it out for yourself so I'll just go ahead and tell you:

The First Thing You Want

To Handicap Is The "Crowd"

That Attends The Different Racetracks!

What you want is, to place your bets at a
track with the highest percentage of people who are illiterate
about horse racing. How do you find this out? Easy. You just
study the Racing Form and find out which tracks have the lowest
percentage of favorites who win races.

Think about it: If you had to make your living
playing poker, what is the best advantage you could have?
Better cards than the other players? That's impossible. In the
long run, all card players will receive exactly the same
percentage of good hands, bad hands and mediocre hands. No,
you don't necessarily want the best cards. What you really
should want (at least it's what I would want) is all
the other players to be...

Dumb, Stupid

Rich Guys!

The next thing you want to do if you are going
to play the ponies for a living... is... eliminate those
horses almost certain not to win. Here's a major secret
on how to do that: Except in high-stakes races, eliminate all
horses who haven't ran a race in 21-days. Why? Because the
owner isn't running the horse to win. To do so would be
risking injury to the horse. What the owner is really doing is
running the horse to limber him up so the horse will be able
to run full-out in an attempt to win the next race. Then, you factor in the "speed rating" and...
HOLD IT! The purpose of this newsletter is not to teach you
how to win at the races; it's just to illustrate a point.
Namely: By spending weeks (they didn't have electronic
calculators back then) Nancy and I were able to figure out
what really counted
if you wanted to make money at the races... and...